The Atlantic basin has only one named system and one area to monitor Monday, while the eastern and central Pacific remain much more active with two hurricanes.
The Atlantic basin has only one named system and one area to monitor Monday, while the eastern and central Pacific remain much more active with two hurricanes, a tropical storm and a separate disturbance likely to develop.
1 named storm and another area with moderate chances of development sit in the Atlantic. (WPEC)None of the systems currently being monitored pose a threat to South Florida or the United States’ East Coast.
Atlantic: Fay weakens, while a new system is watched
Tropical Depression Fay is spinning well southwest of the Azores in the central Atlantic.
Fay will slowly disorganize over open water. (WPEC)Fay has maximum sustained winds near 35 mph and is moving south-southwest.
The depression has struggled to maintain a well-organized thunderstorm pattern, and no impacts to land are expected.
The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring a trough of low pressure several hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda, designated Invest 91-L.
Invest 91-L will continue moving away from the United States regardless of if it gets a name or not. (WPEC)The system is racing east-northeast but is expected to slow and turn east to east-southeast over the central Atlantic during the next couple of days.
Forecasters say it could briefly become a tropical depression before conditions become less favorable later this week.
Invest 91-L has a medium chance of development: 50% over the next 48 hours and 60% over the next seven days. It remains far from Florida, with no local impacts expected.
Pacific: Polo nears Mexico as Nolo remains powerful
Hurricane Polo remains the most immediate danger in the eastern Pacific.
Polo is expected to make landfall in Baja California and then weaken as it moves inland into northern Mexico. (WPEC)Polo is a Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 115 mph and is forecast to make landfall along the coast of Baja California Sur late Monday, then move inland across northwestern mainland Mexico late Monday night or early Tuesday.
Hurricane and tropical-storm conditions are expected to spread across Baja California Sur, followed by parts of Sonora and northwestern Mexico.
Polo could produce 6 to 12 inches of rain in parts of Baja California Sur, with dangerous flooding, mudslides, storm surge and destructive waves possible.
The storm will weaken quickly after moving inland, though its moisture may still contribute to a heavy-rain and flash-flood threat in parts of the Southwest United States.
Farther west, Hurricane Nolo is a powerful Category 4 hurricane with winds near 155 mph, located several hundred miles southwest of the Hawaiian Islands.
Nolo is forecast to become the 4th Category 5 hurricane in the Pacific this year. (WPEC)Nolo is moving west-northwest and is forecast to remain well southwest of the main islands before turning northward farther west.
Hawaii will continue to deal with rough surf, gusty conditions and elevated marine hazards, but the current forecast keeps Nolo’s center away from the main islands.
Tropical Storm Rachel is located well offshore, south of Mexico, with sustained winds near 45 mph.
Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane over the next few days just off the coast of Mexico. (WPEC)Rachel is forecast to strengthen and could become a hurricane Tuesday.
While its center is expected to remain offshore, tropical-storm conditions are possible along a portion of Mexico’s southern coast by Tuesday, and rough surf and rip currents will build along the coast.
Another Pacific system could form soon
The National Hurricane Center is also watching a broad area of low pressure well east-southeast of Hawaii, designated Invest 91-E.
3 named storms and another area with high chances of development sit in the Pacific basin. (WPEC)The disturbance is becoming better organized, and conditions appear favorable for a tropical depression to form within the next day or so.
It is forecast to move generally northeastward while staying well east of Hawaii.
Invest 91-E has a high chance of formation: 70% in the next 48 hours and 90% during the next seven days.
